Tag: the case for mobility

Skilling is the missing link for displaced care workers – and the system as a whole

A care system under strain 

The UK’s adult social care system is under intense pressure, and in recent months it has become a proxy for a wider debate about migration. As part of the government’s efforts to reduce net migration, the UK closed the door to new international recruitment of care workers in July 2025, citing concerns about exploitation and poor practice by providers, alongside a stated shift towards boosting domestic recruitment and retention. 

While politically clear, the decision has had real consequences for the care industry and wider UK economy. Vacancy rates remain significantly above whole-economy norms – around three times higher – and the sector’s inability to recruit overseas workers is compounding long-standing staffing gaps. The number of posts filled by British nationals continues to fall, and projections indicate the sector will need around 470,000 additional workers by 2040, making the recruitment gap increasingly acute.

Through a two-wave consultation from April 2025 to December 2025, LaMP engaged more than 100 stakeholders across government, public and private sector organisations, and the care system, including those representing migrant workers. A consistent picture emerged: recent policy changes have exposed a sponsorship system that lacks flexibility to manage disruption, with around 28,000 displaced care workers struggling to transition quickly into new roles. The problem is worsened by a fragmented redeployment and matching system that is difficult to navigate. Set against high turnover and rising demand, these barriers have heightened concerns about the future availability and mobility of the care workforce. 

National responses to displaced care workers 

In England, responses have focused largely on matching workers to vacancies through regional partnership models backed by targeted government funding while Scotland has introduced comparable public funding for employers. Partnerships, such as in the North-East, have shown promising results in coordinating employers and displaced workers and bridging opportunities between England and Scotland. However, their reliance on time-limited government funding raises questions about long-term sustainability.  

Differing funding and delivery arrangements across nations create divergence, and uneven service quality has resulted in a “postcode lottery” for workers and employers. Even where displaced workers are connected to vacancies, conversion into employment remains low, reflecting systemic challenges including inconsistent skills recognition, slow sponsorship processes, and uneven regional support. 

The intention behind these responses is sound: help qualified workers already in the UK move into new employment while safeguarding their status. Under the current visa system, sponsored care workers can legally change employers only if they secure a new sponsor and receive a new Certificate of Sponsorship within 60 days of leaving their role. In practice, delays in UKVI processes create disruption, with new Certificates of Sponsorship taking eight to more than twenty weeks to issue, leaving many unable to move roles before their status becomes precarious. Ad-hoc matching practices – though well intended – further increase inconsistency in the system.

Alongside these efforts, platforms like Borderless and Lifted have emerged to connect workers and employers and improve vacancy visibility, showing the potential of digital and partnership-based approaches. While affective, they operate within the same structural constraints: limited skills recognition, visa rigidity, and low employer confidence.  

Why matching alone can only go so far 

Matching workers is largely a short-term band-aid, helping a small number of people. Re-employment is slow, employer confidence fragile, and many workers never reach the point of being considered appointable. The problem is not just stakeholders’ coordination or vacancies’ visibility. It is skills. 

The UK is dealing with the consequences of a migration route used as a workforce solution, without the infrastructure needed to make that workforce functional. This is compounded by a structural misalignment: migration policy is set at a UK-wide level, while social care is devolved. Workers are admitted through a single national visa route into systems that are delivered, regulated and supported very differently across nations.  

These challenges stem from how the care worker visa route operated, allowing entry without fully accounting for the complexity of the social care system or role demands. Many workers arrived with limited prior experience, low or even non-existent qualifications, and no clear way to prove their competences. There was no robust mechanism for recognising prior learning, verifying skills, or creating a portable record of competence. 

Skilling as the missing link 

The UK government has introduced measures to strengthen domestic training and progression such as the Learning and Development Support Scheme for the adult social care workforce. While this provides an important boost to domestic skills development, without shared infrastructure for skills recognition and portability, foreign workers still struggle to evidence their skills, and even with relevant experience, there is often no recognised way to prove it. Employers find training and experience hard to verify, confidence in foreign-obtained credentials remains low, and risk feels high following recent sponsorship misuses. Visa rules further limit flexibility, requiring full-time sponsorship with little scope for part-time roles or extended probation periods to test suitability. 

In a high-turnover sector, this combination of risk and rigidity stalls recruitment, leaving visa portability difficult to realise in practice. Matching alone helps only those who already fit the system, leaving the majority constrained by unrecognised skills and credentials. 

If the aim is to support displaced workers and sustain the workforce, skilling must sit at the centre of the response. Workers with recognised training, clearer language competence, and verifiable evidence of their skill, become more employable and more mobile. At the same time, skilling restores employer confidence, creates a clearer signal of capability, reduces perceived risk, and makes recruitment decisions easier and faster. 

Building a resilient system for the future 

Tools already exist: Targeted short-term training aligned to care roles, recognition of prior learning, language and workplace readiness support, and emerging digital or AI-enabled systems for skills verification. What is missing is a strategic decision to prioritise them. Redirecting funding from subsidising recruitment or matching towards skilling would shift the system from short-sight mitigation to long-term value, aligning more closely with the government’s stated aim of building a more skilled workforce – benefiting international and domestic workers. This has been acknowledged in Skills for Care’s Adult Social Care Workforce Strategy, which explores approaches to address workforce skills shortages. 

While UK policy has brought these challenges into sharp focus, they are not unique. Similar pressures are emerging across high-income countries facing long-term care shortages. Initiatives focused on workforce viability and skills portability, such as the Global Apprenticeship Network, demonstrate the need for durable, internationally informed solutions. Over time, this approach helps clarify what skills the sector needs, what standards employers trust, and the infrastructure required if international recruitment were to reopen in the future. 

Regional partnerships and other national support can still play a role, but their value lies in local knowledge and tailored skilling programs, not in subsidising matching or recruitment costs. Combined with infrastructure such as a national register of skills and credentials, they could help create a system that understands the workforce it is trying to support and responds accordingly. 

Right now there is a risk of focusing on the wrong lever. Matching is visible and politically attractive, but it does not address the root problem. What’s needed is a deliberate shift towards building skills, credibility and trust across the system.

The Economist: How to Make Immigration Palatable in a Populist Age

Image © The Economist

In a watershed moment, LaMP’s theory of change served as the core thesis for an article in the Economist. This thesis argues that rotational visas are essential to reconciling the “unstoppable force of demographics” with the immovable object of politics.” The article cites the rapid expansion of temporary visa programs across Japan, Italy, France, Spain, and even Hungary – with the sharpest increases seen under the most conservative leadership. The article quotes LaMP Co-Founder and Board Chair Lant Pritchett, Advisory Council member Michael Clemens, and partner Margaret Mugwanja of Silver RayHRA parallel piece in the New York Times featured LaMP partner GATI Foundation on India’s leadership to build the globally mobile workforce that will move through these visas.

Read the full Economist article here and the New York Times article here.

LaMP’s Kenya-Japan Mobility Program Featured on National Japanese TV

At LaMP, we work to dramatically increase the scale and quality of labor mobility, helping workers from low-income countries to access quality jobs across borders and businesses in high-income countries to address deepening labor shortages. A recent media piece featured our work translating this vision into reality.

LaMP’s Kenya-Japan mobility program was featured on TV-Asahi, a national television channel in Japan, as part of a longer documentary piece exploring Africa as the next frontier of labor migration for Japan. In a country where sales of baby diapers have been outstripped by sales of adult diapers, Japan is recognizing the need to open to a wider range of young workers to maintain its workforce.

The worker featured in the thumbnail is George – a Kenyan worker going through the Technical Intern Training Program (TITP) pathway through the mobility program spearheaded by LaMP. George and two fellow workers will be some of the first 3 Africans to go through the TITP. They are following 3 others who have gone through the Gijinkoku (high-skilled pathway) and will be followed by several others in the program going through the Specified Skills Visa.

You can see our team in action here and watch the full documentary here.

NPR: Declining Birth Rates and the End of Growth as We Know It

 

Credit: Brian Mann/NPR

NPR’s Population Shift series examines how declining birth rates are reshaping the global economy, with families worldwide having fewer children. They interviewed LaMP’s Co-Founder and Research Director, Lant Pritchett, who explained that this demographic shift is challenging assumptions about economic growth that evolved during an era of rapid population increases. He warned that we’re entering uncharted territory, since we lack historical examples of countries navigating dramatic demographic decline.

Read the full article here.

Labor Mobility as Development: The Case for Migration Pathways

Credit: Devex

Lant Pritchett, LaMP’s Co-Founder and Research Director, argued for reimagining labor mobility as a development strategy. Speaking at Devex Impact House during the World Bank and International Monetary Fund annual meetings, he highlighted the massive aging problem facing high-income countries and emphasized that facilitating migration to high-productivity settings can increase workers’ earnings fivefold—far exceeding traditional development interventions that might boost wages by only 10%. He called for orderly migration pathways and programs that help lower-income countries effectively recruit, prepare, and place workers, positioning labor mobility as one of the most powerful poverty reduction tools available.

Read the full Devex article here and watch the complete video here.

Introducing a New Approach to Labor Mobility

This post was first published at the Center for Global Development.

OECD countries face a growing elderly population and a shrinking working-age population, while low-income countries have working-age populations that are growing faster than jobs can absorb them. Labor mobility offers a solution, connecting potential migrants (who need jobs) to potential employers (who need workers). The Connecting International Labor Markets working group convened around the question of how to make this happen, resulting in a proposal for a new organization: Labor Mobility Partnerships (LaMP).

The Future is Older

OECD countries are rapidly aging – their working age populations are shrinking, while their elderly populations are growing. This has significant fiscal and economic implications for these societies, yet thus far there has been no serious policy response. In this blog, Lant Pritchett explores these historically unprecedented and largely ignored trends.